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Hi,

Would you like a trading system that doubles, even triples your portfolio each year... and... would you like to do it with minimal losses?

I’d like to introduce you to a good friend of mine.

His name is Mark McMillan.

Over the last three years, he has systematically ETF Trend traded the major indices (DIA, QQQ and SPY)...and doubled, even tripled his returns.

There's something else about Mark you need to know. He hates losing money.

Who is Mark McMillan

And Why You Should

Pay Attention To Him

Mark's been a long-time subscriber to the Stock Barometer. He didn't show up on my radar until I started chatting with him over e-mail a few years back.

When I realized what he'd figured out about market behavior and reversals... I started harassing him to write for me.

Here's the deal with Mark. He's a history and economics major who got into software engineering, technology marketing and all sorts of diverse knowledge. At heart, he's a problem solver.

So in 2000, he decided he wanted to figure out how to practically never lose money in the market. To him, the pain of losing money outweighs the pleasure of making money any day.

After years of agony, heavy research and insane calculations... Mark's discovered exactly how to tell when a market is trending, trading and... when reversals are about to occur.

In 2007, he started putting it all to the test and writing The McMillan Portfolio.

What Happened Next May Astonish You

Here are the results of what happened when he started implementing his system:

3 Years Ago:

• DIA - 111.10%
• SPY - 123.20%
• QQQQ - 194.40%

2 Years Ago:

• DIA - 234.54%
• SPY - 277.63%
• QQQQ - 201.81%

Last Year:

• DIA - 114.39%
• SPY - 125.77%
• QQQ - 103.18%

That's Just One Half Of It

Mark's use of behavioral economics in trading the major indices is only one half of what you'll get when you subscribe to The McMillan Portfolio.

Mark is also a reversal specialist who discovers undervalued stocks as they're just about to make a turnaround. He's got five positions in that portfolio right now at and he's about to reveal more.

Let me share some figures with you...

  • Undervalue Play #1 - Mark entered this stock at $20 after it plunged from a lofty $77.61 high just mere months before. Today, Mark is sitting on 121.5% profits.
  • Undervalue Play #2 - This stock had lost 72% of its value in five months. Mark courageously enters this stock at $12.50 and now sits on a 148.2% profit.
  • Undervalue Play #3 - This one is good. 80% of its value decimated from September of 2008 to February of 2009. Mark's entry at $6 that month rewards him with a 318.5% profit today.
  • Undervalue Play #4 - Mark pulls an absolute miracle here. His entry at $4.25 for this stock was twenty-four cents off from it's lowest low. Incidentally, this position is a 349.9% profit as of today.

OK. It's unfair to show you the positive without the negative. As I said many times before, Mark hates losing. He usually gets out of losing trades extremely quick. But he is holding on to one particular trade right now you should be aware of.

  • Undervalue Play #5 - He's held this one since November of 2008. It's sitting at a minor loss right now. A whopping 1.4% loss. I hope that doesn't scare you off.
I think you'll agree with me, The McMillan Portfolio is worth giving a try, at least. I would like to offer you 28 days nearly free. A trial subscription is only $4.95. After that, it's $18.95 each month until you cancel.

Mark Can Help You

Double, Even Triple

Your Account This Year

You've seen the performance numbers above. Mark HATES losing. And using his conservative trading strategy for the major indices (QQQ, SPY & DIA), he has helped his subscribers double their account every year since 2007. In the most volatile year of 2008, he nearly quadrupled his SPY trades... closing the year at a 277.63% return.

Mark is the only professional trader I know of on earth who's figured out when the market is trending or trading. He tells you what each of the major indices are doing every, single trading day.

If you trend trade the major index ETFs as he exactly prescribes, you'd get the same results he delivers.

Not only that...

What would it be worth to you... to know exactly if the market is bullish, bearing, trending or trading? How many trades did you get whipsawed out of this year? How many reversals did you miss?

Do you punish yourself by back dating trades you "could've" made? STOP. Seriously. With Mark's daily market prognosis, you'll know if it's safe or dangerous to bet on those more speculative trades you got on the side.

Listen. Mark's ETF Trend Trading advisory is worth much more than the $18.95/month we charge. But because we believe in its value, we are offering you a trial 28 days for only $4.95.

If you are not blown away at how accurate Mark's calls are over the next 30 days, cancel. No questions asked, no hassles, no harm done. You will have spent less than a Venti at Starbucks.

Get your trial 28 days of The McMillan Portfolio now...

But wait, I'd like to throw in a bonus from myself...

I'll do everything I can to promote Mark's service here. So here's what I'll include in your subscription to The McMillan Portfolio today...

Mark's Stock Market Chat Room (Value $24.95/Month): Every Trading Day - from 9 A.M. Eastern to 4 pm, Mark hops in to his online chat room for an hour and talk to whoever is there about trading methodologies, psychology, money management and trades to look out for.  He's there all day to address your questions, and talks again at the close.

It gets hot and heavy in there. Subscribers just love the energy and exchange of high value education. Will you join us?

If You Hate Losing Money,

And Want An ETF Trend Trading System

That Has At Least Doubled Every Year

For The Last Three Years...

You Need The McMillan Portfolio

Mark is on track to beating the DJI, SPX and NASD-100 again this year already. In his value portfolio, he is sitting on 187.3% of profits from trades he entered a year or so ago. He's about to call the tops on three other major indices.  Simply one of the best ETF portfolios out there.

Find out what they are so you can profit from them.  Subscribe to The McMillan Portfolio today.

Regards,

Carl Adams, Publisher

P.S. Did you hear about Goldman Sachs last week? Mark's got some interesting insights that could make you a lot of money.

Before trading, consider consulting a financial planner.

A shock to the system…

Worst down day since May…

 

Recommendation:       Take no action.

 

Click here to access our stock market chat rooms today!         For a limited time, try our chat room for free.         No
subscription necessary to give it a try.

 

Stock Market Trends:


ETF Positions indicated as Green are Long ETF positions and those indicated as Red are short positions.


The State of the stock market is used to determine how you should trade.  A trending market can ignore support and resistance levels and maintain its direction longer than most traders think it will. 


The BIAS is used to determine how aggressive or defensive you should be with an ETF position.  If the BIAS is Bullish but the stock market is in a Trading state, you might enter a short trade to take advantage of a reversal off of resistance.  The BIAS tells you to exit that ETF trade on “weaker” signals than you might otherwise trade on as the stock market
is predisposed to move in the direction of BIAS.


At
Risk is generally neutral represented by “-“.  When it is “Bullish” or “Bearish” it warns of a potential change in the BIAS.


The Moving Averages are noted as they are important signposts used by the Chartists community in determining the relative health of the markets.

 

Best ETFs to buy now (current positions):

Long DIA at $212.80 on June 13, 2017.

Long QQQ at $140.01 on June 13, 2017.

Long SPY at $243.98 on June 13, 2017.

The actual entry price is reflected in current positions in this section.  Dividend Payments received adjust the
base price reflected in the table further above.

Click here to learn more about my services and for our ETF Trend Trading.

Value Portfolio:

 

Long SDRL at $9.90 on March 24, 2015.

Long SDRL at $9.70 on July 9, 2015.

Long SDRL at $8.11 on August 5, 2015.

 

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sign up by clicking here:
Free Stock Market Newsletter

 

The major indexes opened lower and continued down that path through the
session.  Leading indexes took the largest hits with all falling near two percent or more.  In addition, the bank indexes fell
nearly three percent.  The Dow lost less than one percent and the S&P-500 lost less than 1.5%.
All other equity indexes that we regularly report on fell even harder.  The Dow is the only index
above its 20-, 50- and 200-Day Moving Averages (DMAs).  Most other equity indexes closed below
their 20- and 50-DMAs.  This left the bank indexes in downtrend states and the other equity indexes in trading
states.  The
Longer Term Bonds (TLT 126.37 +1.07) posted a fractional gain and shifted to an uptrend state closing above its 20-,
50- and 200-DMAs with a NEUTRAL BIAS.
Trading volume on the NYSE rose but remained light with 859M shares traded.  On the NASDAQ, volume increased remaining
average with 2.175B shares traded.

 

Apple
(AAPL 155.27 -5.16) fell more than three percent!  AAPL closed above its 20-, 50- and
200-DMAs but shifted to a trading state.  AAPL is the largest component of the NASDAQ-100 and the second largest of
the S&P-500, and a big component of the Dow. 

Seadrill Limited
(SDRL 0.32 -0.019) fell more than five percent.  SDRL closed below its 20-, 50- and 200-DMAs.  It remains in a trading
state.  SDRL has a BEARISH BIAS. 

 

In addition to the weekly natural gas inventory report, there were five economic reports of interest released:

·
PPI (Jul) fell -0.1% versus an expected +0.2% rise

·
Core PPI (Jul) fell -0.1% versus an expected +0.2% rise

·
Initial Jobless Claims for last week came in at 244K versus an expected 240K

·
Continuing Jobless Claims for last week came in at 1.951M versus the prior week’s 1.967M

·
Treasury Budget (Jul) came in at -$42.9B versus June’s -$112.8B

The first four reports were released an hour before the open.  The final report was released an hour
into trading.

 

The U.S. dollar fell a tenth of one percent.  The dollar is in a trading state.  The dollar closed below its 20-, 50- and 200-DMAs.  The dollar has a
BEARISH BIAS. 

 

The yield for the 10-year bond fell three basis points (-1.3%) to close at 2.212.  The price of a barrel of crude oil fell
ninety-seven cents (-2.0%) to close at $48.59.  Oil closed above its 20- and 50-DMAs.  It remains in an uptrend
state and is still below its 200-DMA.  Oil has a BULLISH BIAS.  The
U.S. government reported that natural gas inventories rose 28 bcf last week.

 

The implied volatility for the S&P-500 (VIX 16.04 +4.93) soared thirty-five
percent higher and closed above its to closed above its 20-, and 50- and 200-DMA
remaining in an uptrend state.  The implied volatility for the NASDAQ-100 (VXN 19.06 +3.63) soared twenty-four
percent.  It closed above its 20-, 50- and 200-DMAs and shifted to an uptrend state. 

 

Market internals were bearish with decliners leading advancers 6:1 on the NYSE and by 4:1 on the NASDAQ.  Down volume led up volume 6:1 on the
NYSE and by 4:1 on the NASDAQ.  Note: We have not seen these sort of extremes since October 11th last year.  The index put/call ratio fell -0.36 to
close at 0.69.  The equity put/call ratio rose +0.05 to close at 0.88.  Note: It is unusual for the index put/call
ratio to fall by a large degree on a large down day.  We don’t understand why more downside
insurance wasn’t taken out.

 

Conclusion/Commentary

 

AAPL fell more than three percent and was a big influencer on losses by the major indexes.  With that said, the vast
majority of stocks fell as near panic over a potential military conflict with North Korea spooked traders.  Safe
haven investments continue to be favored but we believe that stocks are more
likely to bounce here than continue a significant slide.  At this time, the dip should be viewed
as a buying opportunity as we believe the bulls will be buying on Friday.  Stay tuned.

 

Oil remains in the $50 range.  It remains below its 200-DMA but above the 20- and 50-DMAs and shifted to a trading
state.  Stay tuned.

www.stockbarometer.com

Good morning Traders,

Friday’s bounce on very light volume is setting up the potential next weak
day.  The challenge with it being Monday is it’s month end.  Last
Thursday’s action showed just how much damage can be caused by one of the FANG
member stocks having a bad day.  Looking through those stocks, if selling
picks up, they’ll likely drive the Qs down to the 128 level – and that’s just
for starters.

Here’s a view of our seasonal charts to gain perspective on the action in the
month ahead – following our standard priority of stocks, bonds, dollar, gold,
oil, and nat gas.

qqq seasonality

bond

US Dollar Seasonality

gold seasonality

oil seasonality

nat gas seasonality

Conditions are right for a correction – stocks are in a seasonal sideways to
weak period through 10/1 and bonds are also in a window where they show seasonal
strength.  One caveat there is the Fed reducing it’s QE bloated balance
sheet.  They technically have t sell enough but not manufacture a
crash.  We could even see bonds go down, with stocks, driving rates
up.  Do you think the economy is ready for that?  Someone always
has to ruin the party.  And this time it’s the Fed.

Add in that gold is in a seasonal strong period and showing strength and that
further supports weak markets.  Oil is a wild card as inventories dry
up.  Oil prices could melt up for a while as the weak dollar makes oil
cheaper around the globe.  Thus the push into international markets over US
markets.

Nat Gas remains difficult to trade.  I’ll do a full review of our
indicators on Nat Gas (it isn’t called the widow maker for nothing) to see if we
can gain some leverage on what’s driving the trade there.  Still looks to
be forming some sort of double bottom and retest of the Feb 2016 lows, which
could make a good trade.

To access all the DSB newsletters, including all our research charts, click
here:  http://www.stockbarometer.com/cb_dsb.aspx

Regards,

www.stockbarometer.com

 

 

Good morning Traders,

Friday’s price pattern was a bearish evening star, but we have earnings from
a FANG stock so anything goes today.  Let’s take a look at a 1-3 month
expectations for the Nyse and Nasdaq and then analyze the Nh/Nl data:

Nadsaq 1 month

nyse one month

Nasdaq 3 month

Nyse 3 month

As they say, life is like a box of chocolate and you never know what you’re
going to get.  No one can predict the future, but we use the past to keep
our expectations in check.  When indicators get to these levels, markets
are expected to be flat or lower and more so on a one month basis.  If we
remain in a bull market (as evidenced below) on a 3 month basis, there is rarely
a bad time to buy!

Nasdaq Net New Highs New Lows

Nyse New Highs New Lows

We moved the above two indicators back to 2011, to capture the two most
bearish moves from 2011 and August 2015, January 2016.  These make some of
the best long term buy points – but they’re far and few between.  I do
expect something similar this year as the 2009 Bull Market turns over.

With the Net New Highs/lows at a peak, as the line moves lower, it’s
important to understand that we’re still seeing break outs – just fewer and
these are more likely to collapse and retreat back into the base (from a stock
basis).  In a normal / neutral market, the lines should move on both sides
of the scale.  And in a bear market, for the most part, these lines will
remain below zero.  It takes moves like that to make me more bullish – as
I’m currently bearish and can only see minimal upside and maximum potential
downside for the future.  We remain Short on this retest of the previous
highs on the Qs and are looking for a 3-11% move lower from here.

That means we’ll be out with our top 500 covered calls and top stock PUT
options soon as we get more confirmation of a bearish move.

Regards,

www.stockbarometer.com

PS – we’re publishing this article on our sister content sites.  To
subscribe, click the following link:

http://www.stockbarometer.com/cb_dsb.aspx

Click here to get our stock market timing advice and gain access to all 300 of our market timing charts updated weekly.

Bond Seasonality

For other seasonality charts, click here:

QQQ Seasonality

Gold Seasonality

USD Seasonality

Bond Seasonality

 

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Stock market bottom

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Marketvane Stock market timing indicator

The signal Market Vane’s Stock Market Indicator – is potentially showing bearish activity for 2017. Subscribe to the Daily Stock Barometer (links below) to find out when to sell the stock market!

Market Vane

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This is one of our 300 market timing indicators to help traders and investors identify potential buy and sell points.

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The signal from the Consensus Indicator is bearish. Click the links below to learn how to trade and profit.

Consensus Indicator

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This is one of our 300 market timing indicators to help traders and investors identify potential buy and sell points.

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https://www.facebook.com/InvestmentResearchGroupInc/?ref=hl

The signal Market Vane’s Stock Market Indicator – is potentially showing bearish activity for 2017. Subscribe to the Daily Stock Barometer (links below) to find out when to sell the stock market!

Market Vane Stock Market Indicator

To learn more about us, click below:

This is one of our 300 market timing indicators to help traders and investors identify potential buy and sell points.

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The Bond market is the driver of the stock market, given that the size of the bond market dwarfs that of the stock market. So when the stock market rallies, and the percentage of pension funds with stock and bond ratios needs to be adjusted. And given the recent Trump rally, and bonds selling off, stocks will need to be sold to purchase bonds. It’s that simple.

For 2016, the big issue is the sell off in Bonds.  The Qs (what we specifically trade for alpha and beta) have not participated in this rally, given the strength in the dollar (not pictured here).  So look for a traditional sell in the new year – whether it starts on 1/2 or it starts on mid January (which happens periodically).

bond seasonality

stock market seasonality

 

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The signal from the Consensus Indicator is bearish. Click the links below to learn how to benefit.

consensus indicator

To learn more about us, click below:

This is one of our 300 market timing indicators to help traders and investors identify potential buy and sell points.

To learn more, visit www.stockbarometer.com or sign up for our free newsletter at http://archive.aweber.com/awlist3823220

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The relationship between stocks and bonds is key to interpreting and predicting future price action. The view is that the bond market is so much larger than the stock market, that money flowing in and out of bonds causes movement in other vehicles, such as stocks.

Take a look at the following momentum chart of the QQQ versus Bonds (in the form of TLT) :

QQQ Bonds TLT RSI

What you can see is initial peaks in the relative action cause markets to pause. The second peak – whether it’s higher or lower, tells you if momentum is shifting.

Where are we now? We’ve had our initial peak in Stocks bouncing relative to Bonds and we’re working on the second peak. We at www.stockbarometer.com expect a bearish divergence to set up the next move lower in the markets. Bonds will bounce, gold will bounce and risky assets will fall. But this action will ultimately set up the next best buying opportunity for the stock market! So stay tuned!

To learn more about us, click below:

This is one of our 300 market timing indicators to help traders and investors identify potential buy and sell points.

To learn more, visit www.stockbarometer.com or sign up for our free newsletter at http://archive.aweber.com/awlist3823220

https://www.facebook.com/InvestmentResearchGroupInc/?ref=hl

Traders be on the look out for a top forming this week. This is one of our 300 market timing indicators to help traders and investors identify potential buy and sell points.

Nyse Crash Hindenberg Omen

For the above signal from the Hindenberg Omen to be valid, we need to see the McLellan Oscillator to be negative…it is:

McLellan Oscillator

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Traders be on the look out for a top forming this week. This is one of our 300 market timing indicators to help traders and investors identify potential buy and sell points.

AAII Stock Market Signal

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Traders be on the look out for a top forming this week. This is one of our 300 market timing indicators to help traders and investors identify potential buy and sell points.

Market timing cycle indicator

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Traders be on the look out for a top forming this week. This is one of our 300 market timing indicators to help traders and investors identify potential buy and sell points.

Stock market timing

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Good morning Traders,

Here is our TOP 100 Covered Calls for the S&P 500.

Visit www.stockbarometer.com to learn more and subscribe.

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Top 100 Covered Calls on the Nasdaq 100

 

Stavros Georgiadis has joined the team at www.stockbaromer.com to bring you profitable stock trend trades.

Momentum Trend Trader Stavros Georgiadis

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Join Stavros Georgiadis, a CFA charterholder, and trade up to 5 stocks at a time using his proprietary Momentum Trend Trading system which combines both fundamental and technical analysis into powerful short- to mid-term trading performance. Stavros leverages his stock, option, and forex trading skills to give you precise entry and exit alerts as well as money management to deliver exceptional returns.

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Crash Alert:

I don’t use the ADX line much in individual trades but I do use it often for predicting market corrections and crashes. When the ADX line (the black line below) falls below both the directional lines (green and red), it implies that an upward trend has come to an end. A red directional line spiking also shows a potential market correction or crash. Look at how the line acted in August and compare it to today:

 

 

 

I am not outright predicting a crash, but I do want you to be forewarned. A bear market might be on the way. Review our bear market portfolio below and ensure you are holding onto all the positions that mesh with your trading strategy:

 

Our Bear Market Portfolio:

 

Visit www.stockbarometer.com to subscribe and try the service – 4 weeks for only $1.

As 2015 winds down, here is our QQQ Seasonality.  Visit www.stockbarometer.com to learn how to profit from the next move.

qqq seasonality