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Market Summary

As you can see in the updated Treasury Bond
Fund ETF (TLT) chart below, treasury bonds crashed from 52-week highs reached a
few weeks ago. The price pullback presents an opportunity to cash out of our
September 
expiration month TLT bear call spread.
Normally we’d try to let the contracts expire worthless on expiration day this
coming Friday. However, the Federal Reserve is scheduled to make comments on
Wednesday and depending on how investors interpret the news; this could send
treasuries soaring again. Also, the chart indicates treasury bonds are oversold
at a support level where the price could be ready to bounce back. We have
already earned most of the premium from the option contracts so from a
risk/reward perspective it is not worth staying in this trade any
longer.

 

 

 

Exit
Plan

The OPENING TRADE down below was setup and published in the August
14th
Easy Money Options Income (EMOI). A comment
from the ‘Exit Plan’ in the
article “…
if it is a week or so prior to
the expiration date, we may be able to hold out for a .05 bid or decide to just
let the contracts expire worthless…”

 

Regular September options stop trading at the close
of business on Friday. As displayed in the CLOSING TRADE below, we plan on
buying back our short calls tomorrow morning to close out these contracts. We
are going to ignore the long calls because they have no value at this point and
therefore it is not worth the fees and commissions to sell these contracts – we
will just these contracts expire worthless at week’s end.

Click on the link below to see the opening trade
article

http://www.stockbarometer.com/viewarticle.aspx?articleid=10677

 

 

 

Approx. gain $475 (Excludes
commissions and fees
)

Projected gain is an approx. 11.50% return on the margin
requirement

 

Regards,

 

Gregory Clay

Options Strategist

Info@StockBarometer.com

 

Gregory Clay’s Option Newsletter – Weekly Income Credit
Spreads

Gregory Clay’s Option Newsletter – Easy Money Options
Income

 

www.stockbarometer.com  

Trade Alert
4/23/2014 1:14:25 PM
Print View

Market Summary

Weekly Income Credit Spreads

The market is moved higher this week after a last week’s price pause. As indicated in the DIA weekly chart below, the DOW Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is bouncing up against the resistance level which has held the price in check since the end of last year. As highlighted in the chart there is a high probability the DJIA will continue to trade below the resistance price which is also the all-time highs. Also noted is the longer term strength and momentum indicators have been stuck in neutral all year and you can see the index is sending a bearish candlestick signal. Now is probably an ideal time to take advantage of the opportunity to set up a May week-four expiration DIA bear call credit spread.

 

The DIA ETF (NYSEArca:DIA) exchange traded fund (ETF) seeks to  provide investment results that, before expenses, correspond generally to the price and yield performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA). The fund seeks to achieve its investment objective by holding a portfolio of the common stocks that are included in the Dow Jones Average, with the weight of each stock in the Portfolio substantially corresponding to the weight of such stock in the DJIA. We are utilizing a bear call spread because the DJIA just needs to stay below the price of the sold option for this technique to work. Plus this strategy includes protection to minimize the loss in case the market surges over the next thirty days.

DIA ETF Trade Setup ——————————————————————–

We are opening a May week-four DIA bear call spread. The DIA call spread needs to generate a minimum .50 net credit AND we prefer an 80% probability that the short call contracts will expire worthless and we get to keep most of the sold premium. The spread in the table below complies with our trading rules for initiating the May 23rd expiration DIA bear call spread (based on Wednesday’ morning bid/ask mean). The suggestion is to submit a limit order to purchase/sell the option strike prices below. Please confirm the correct option symbols with your broker.

Premium Credit $.57

Total Option Premium Received $1,140 (Excludes commissions and fees)

Maximum Risk $4,860

Margin Requirement $6,000

20 contracts traded on each leg (number of contracts can be increased or decreased based on risk tolerance and/or funds available to trade; this will impact Total Premium Received, Maximum Risk amount, and Margin Required)

If prices gap down the call spread may not be available as published and unless the gap is filled you should hold off on the trade.

Exit Plan

As with initiating the trade, the decision process for exiting our DIA credit spread will be simple:

Anytime the market maker is willing to accept a limit price of less than .10 on one of our short strikes, we can buy back all the short contracts and sell the long positions on the same spread. However, if it is a week or so prior to the expiration date, we may be able to hold out for a .05 bid or decide to just let the contracts expire worthless.

If one of our short strikes is penetrated (closing price above the short call) AND the delta rises to .65 we will look to close out this spread (buy the short contracts, sell the long) and roll it out to another short strike price. Unless this this is the week the options expire, do not panic and rush to close the trade, many times the market will reverse itself and remove the sense of urgency. If one of our short strikes has been violated and there is no price reversal, we cut our losses and live to fight another day.

Regards,

Gregory Clay

Options Strategist

Weekly Income Credit Spreads