The relationship between stocks and bonds is key to interpreting and predicting future price action. The view is that the bond market is so much larger than the stock market, that money flowing in and out of bonds causes movement in other vehicles, such as stocks.

Take a look at the following momentum chart of the QQQ versus Bonds (in the form of TLT) :

QQQ Bonds TLT RSI

What you can see is initial peaks in the relative action cause markets to pause. The second peak – whether it’s higher or lower, tells you if momentum is shifting.

Where are we now? We’ve had our initial peak in Stocks bouncing relative to Bonds and we’re working on the second peak. We at www.stockbarometer.com expect a bearish divergence to set up the next move lower in the markets. Bonds will bounce, gold will bounce and risky assets will fall. But this action will ultimately set up the next best buying opportunity for the stock market! So stay tuned!

To learn more about us, click below:

This is one of our 300 market timing indicators to help traders and investors identify potential buy and sell points.

To learn more, visit www.stockbarometer.com or sign up for our free newsletter at http://archive.aweber.com/awlist3823220

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Traders be on the look out for a top forming this week. This is one of our 300 market timing indicators to help traders and investors identify potential buy and sell points.

Nyse Crash Hindenberg Omen

For the above signal from the Hindenberg Omen to be valid, we need to see the McLellan Oscillator to be negative…it is:

McLellan Oscillator

To learn more, visit www.stockbarometer.com or sign up for our free newsletter at http://archive.aweber.com/awlist3823220

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Traders be on the look out for a top forming this week. This is one of our 300 market timing indicators to help traders and investors identify potential buy and sell points.

AAII Stock Market Signal

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https://www.facebook.com/InvestmentResearchGroupInc/?ref=hl

Traders be on the look out for a top forming this week. This is one of our 300 market timing indicators to help traders and investors identify potential buy and sell points.

Market timing cycle indicator

To learn more, visit www.stockbarometer.com or sign up for our free newsletter at http://archive.aweber.com/awlist3823220

https://www.facebook.com/InvestmentResearchGroupInc/?ref=hl

Traders be on the look out for a top forming this week. This is one of our 300 market timing indicators to help traders and investors identify potential buy and sell points.

Stock market timing

To learn more, visit www.stockbarometer.com or sign up for our free newsletter at http://archive.aweber.com/awlist3823220

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As 2015 winds down, here is our QQQ Seasonality.  Visit www.stockbarometer.com to learn how to profit from the next move.

qqq seasonality

From this weekends advisory to clients – visit www.stockbarometer.com and subscribe to the Daily Stock Barometer – first month for only $1.  Stock market timing advice for over 15 years!

Citigroup Euphoria Index

To learn more – http://archive.aweber.com/awlist3823220

SPY to SPX

Visit www.stockbarometer.com to learn how this fits into our daily stock market forecast.

Cumulative Tick Index

Good evening Traders,
 
As Market Weakness is finally upon us, there can be a significant response in the stock market. 
 
Accordingly, we want to make you a special offer.  Our Daily Stock Barometer Premier Service for only $24.95.  This is
a limited time offer (available for the next week only) and if you subscribe, we’ll honor your subscription for as long as you remain subscribed. 
There’s a lot about to happen in the markets right now, and we want as many traders to be ready for it.  We’ll have this evening’s Daily Stock
Barometer below, but first, more about your subscription. 
 
The Premier subscription includes the following:
 
  • The Daily Stock Barometer – Stock market timing advice
  • QQQ Trader Alert – trade the QQQ using our market timing advice
  • Stock Options Speculator – Top 100 PUTS and CALLS at our timing reversals
  • Covered Call Alert – our top 100 Covered Calls at stock market tops.
  • IRG Market Timing Indicators – all our research (that you see here and 300 more indicators) Emailed to you weekly
  • Gold Options Trader – Using our research to trade Gold Options – our last trade was up several hundred percent
  • Oil Options Trader – Using our research to trade Oil Options – again our last trade in this service (PUTS) was up over 400%
  • Natural Gas Options Trader – we recently expanded our research theories to cover Natural Gas 
  • And more…
To subscribe, click the following link over the next week.  We are not offering a discounted trial to the services,
because this is a limited time half off deal. 
 
 
 
Here’s this Evening’s Daily Stock Barometer:
 
 
Important Week
12/14/2014 7:27:44 PM
 
Good evening Traders,
 
As we’ve pointed out in the past, periodically, reversals align with expiration.  And this week should
be no different as it rolls into expiration this Friday.  We have a lot of charts to go through today, so let’s dig right
in…
 
First – the situation in index options is changing rapidly…
 
index options
 
And there’s a corresponding move in equity options:
 
equity options
 
The indicator above suggests we’re close to a bottom in the short term.
 
Moving on to the economy:
 
ecri
 
Bonds are getting extended (This is bullish for stocks).
 
bonds
 
The dollar is getting overbought and momentum is slowing – this would be bullish for the Nasdaq.
 
usd
 
While we’re looking at the dollar, what about Gold?
 
gold
 
This is a neat chart that shows the extent that markets can sell off, but we’re at a relative
low.
 
nasdaq new lows
 
Very concerning is the Nasdaq Breadth here:
 
Nasdaq Cumulative Breadth
 
In this view of the Nyse Trin, it’s bullish:
 
trin
 
But in this view, which looks at the highs, lows and close of the trin, we can see worse readings:
 
trin comb
 
And on to oil – which is all the talk (And we’re about to issue some call options this
week).
 
oil
 
At the time of this writing Sunday night, oil is continuing it’s slide lower. 
 
long term barometer
 
Our QQQ indicator is also pointing lower, but getting extended in the short term.
 
QQQ Timer
 
Summary:
 
The market is at a point where I like to say, the rubber meets the road.  If we’re going to crash,
we’ll do it this week into Friday.  But given the time of the and the coordination with our forecast for 2014 – we’re more likely
to see prices stabilize and rally early this week into expiration.  Then as we enter the final two weeks of the year, prices should further stabilize
into a year end top. 
 
Oil is starting to look good here, but we’re not inclined to catch that falling knife.  A few call options
though could prove lucrative longer term.  You can get some February calls pretty cheap (which we’ll recommend when we see a
bottom).
 
Gold should be cranking, but the absence of the move and positioning of some of the bets in gold suggest further
weakness.  Not ready to make that bet yet – but preparing to.
We’ll give up a little of our QQQ gains to remain positioned for this bounce as the move has efficiently built
energy and the underlying action in the market to form a bottom is starting to initiate right on schedule with expiration.
 
Regards,
 
_____________________________________
 
We’re about to publish our year end models for 2015 and the year end is setting up for a very significant trade and we want as many
people to be on board as possible.  We’ve been writing this advisory for over 10 years, so we would love to prove our value to you and have you as a
client.
 
Again, To subscribe, click the following link over the next week.  Note, we are not offering trials for this
special limited time deal. 
 
 
Regards,
 
Carl Adams, Publisher
 

Nyse Cumulative Volume

bond money flow

Here’s an indicator from our morning update that suggests the market could bounce soon…

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CLICK HERE to Sign up for the Stock Barometer FREE Newsletter now!Each week we send out stock market timing charts from our IRG research and alerts from our different services for you to sample as well as offers for free trials. These are educational articles pertaining to trading, investing and timing the markets. We cover Stocks, ETFs, Index Market TIming and Options. There is no obligation. We hate SPAM as much as you do, so you can remove yourself from our list at anytime. 

Good Evening Traders,

Here’s a chart from this morning’s Daily Stock Barometer.  Visit www.stockbarometer.com to learn more.

Stock Market Relative Strength

Good morning Traders,

Our timing indicators are showing a top.  Here are some of our top options issued in our stock options speculator service this morning.  To see the list for the Nasdaq 100, visit www.stockbarometer.com and sign up for a $1 trial…

top PUT options

Regards,

www.stockbarometer.com

Visit www.stockbarometer.com to access all our research like below:

stock market money flow

Good Sunday morning Traders,

There remains in the market a significant divergence between the action in the NYSE and the Nasdaq.  The Qs have been selling off and the SPY have been holding on.  We have two indicators that focus on both markets.

For the NYSE – my first algorithm that I created is here:

NYSE Market Timing

This indicator is in the middle of the range, which basically means that we have NO idea where it’s going, but that the likelihood of a larger move lower is growing.  We saw this back in 2011 a couple of times, and that’s my expectation as our next Key Reversal Date is 4/10 (from our cycle research).

Next is the Barometer for the QQQ/Nasdaq – in 2005, we migrated from a timing service on the SPY to the QQQ to take advantage of the added beta (which you can leverage further now with margin or leveraged ETFs.)

Nasdaq Market Timing

As you can see, we’re at a similar level as the previous bottom.  The market tried to reverse on Friday, but late day (computer) selling pushed us back towards lows.  Is this quarter end manipulation?  We won’t know until next week.  So while I expect a move lower into the 4/10 period.  If I’m wrong, it would be even more bearish for the markets to rally into 4/10.  If that happens, we’ll get a buy signal next week and ride the move – with a little fear that we’re picking up dimes in front of a steam roller.

For an update on our Gold options, which are up over 100% in a couple weeks, please visit here:

http://fat-pitch-etf-trader.com/?p=1148

Good morning Traders,

Here’s our update from this morning’s Daily Stock Barometer on Money Flow:

Equity Money Flow

For more information, visit http://d26ff9z3g4k31le8efqfoefqev.hop.clickbank.net/

I think not…

Good morning Traders,

Here’s an indicator from my morning article – the Daily Stock Barometer:

This is a basic indicator that tells a significant story – and the story here is that we have more selling to come before we mark a bottom here.

We are looking for the markets to be weak into 4/10.  Visit www.stockbarometer.com to sign up for a $1 trial to the Daily Stock Barometer and access all our research for free!

Good morning Traders,

The weekend is always a good time to reflect on the past week and make your action plan for the week ahead.  Here’s an image from our daily updates this week:

Investor's Intelligence Buy Sell Climaxes

While not at an extreme, the signal here from Investor’s Intelligence Buy Sell Climaxes is bearish.  Visit www.stockbarometer.com for more information.

Good morning Traders,
 
The question on everyone’s mind right now is are we at a top, or will the uptrend resume into summer?
 
As we’ve shown you, the best way to answer that question is to keep an eye on the crowd.  What’s the crowd doing
now?
 
Here’s an image from our research issued to our clients every weekend.
 
Click here to access our research...
 
This chart shows what options traders are doing with their money right now – and so many of them are positioning for more downside, that
we believe markets will bottom this week and take off to the upside.
 
How can you profit from this? 
 
Our Stock Trader, David Cohne, manages a portfolio of 5 low priced stocks for his subscribers.  If stocks are going to race
ahead to the upside, these stocks will return much more than your average stocks. 
 
Want to front run the crowd? 
 
Every Sunday, David releases his portfolio with adjustments to be made Monday morning.  If you subscribe today, you will get
access to this weekly update and be able to position in his new pick or any of his current portfolio positions. 
 
What happens next?
 
On Tuesday morning before the open, we’ll publish David’s article to this newsletter list and on the internet.  This list has
10’s of thousands of subscribers.  And our websites get significant traffic from all over the internet – in fact, many of our postings are picked up
by google news. 
 
So combine the fact that the market is ready to rebound, triggering computer buy programs – and that David’s recommendations will be seen
by 10’s if not hundreds of thousands of readers from this newsletter and our websites all around the internet – there is a great chance that these picks may
generate even more momentum as the market bottoms later this week. 
 
All you need to do is subscribe in the next two days before we release David’s current portfolio and hot stock of the week to the
masses.  Even better, you can subscribe for 4 weeks for only $1 – just use Discount Code VMP1 when you sign up. 
 
 
USE DISCOUNT CODE VMP1 when signing up.
 
Regards,
 
Carl Adams, Publisher
 
PS – We are still giving out our 52 page presentation detailing the potential bubble forming in the stock market right
now.  Your subscription also includes a subscription to all our market timing research.  CLICK HERE TO SIGN UP  and don’t forget to USE DISCOUNT CODE VMP1
when signing up.